Wednesday 13 June 2018

Eddy's Top 5 Watches

The first watch my parents bought me was a counterfeit Casio from Chinatown in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. It worked for less than 24 hours, but I cherished it. I suspect my parents thought watches were just another childhood phase. Think again. I've now owned seven watches, and if I wasn't so good at losing them, I'd probably have a collection. My current piece is a 'Brathwait classic'. It does the job and it matches my simple desire = classic face, no numbers unless they are Roman numerals and a comfortable leather brand.

When I first saw my old university mate, Edman Tam, post on Facebook about how he's joined the family business as a watch repairer, I was ecstatic. It was only a matter of time until I convinced him to compile a list of his favourite watches. (Shameless plug for the Tam family's watch repairer chain, Watch World. Head to the store in the Merrylands Stockland Mall to meet the maestro.)



  
You might not know that 'Swatch' stands for 'second watch'. This perfectly marks the intent behind Swatch Watches; they are designed to be inexpensive, reliable watches for casual, everyday wear. Many attribute the survival of Swiss watch brands (indeed, perhaps the Swiss watch industry) to Swatch.

If everyone exclusively wore Swatch watches, I would be out of business! Their bands and batteries are designed to be replaced with minimal instruction. Often, their watches are designed to be produced in-house, and the movement of the watch is integrated into the casing of the watch itself. I haven't seen this in any other mass produced watch. As such, they produce very good quality watches at a reasonable price point.

There is, however, many watches in the Swatch range I would avoid. Swatch has kept a lot of the design aesthetics from the 80s, when Swatch was founded, which doesn't appeal to me. Many of their watches use plastic for their casing, clasps, as well as thin silicon for their bands, all of which are prone to breakage. This is made worse by the fact that these watches are not designed to be repairable. As someone who works as a repairer, it is frustrating to throw a watch away because of minor damage!

However, the Sistem range is the exception. The Sistem Soliare sports a black leather band, stainless steel casing and clasp, as well as lenses on front and back allowing a glimpse of Swatch's extremely impressive Sistem 51 automatic movement. This watch is packed full of deft features (too many to list here!) and feels great. I can't say I adore the look, but for a Swiss-made, automatic watch of this quality, and less than $300, the Swatch Sistem range is an essential addition to your collection.




Released just before the turn of the century, the Seiko SKX009K1 is an affordable, Japanese-made, automatic diver's watch. Just those descriptors make my skin tingle! Yes, this watch is first and foremost designed for reactional divers, and yes, the calibre of movement is on the lower end of Seiko's automatic movements, but I haven't dived for years and it is still a Seiko-made automatic movement.

This watch also displays the date, has luminous hands and marks, has a 'Pepsi cap' style unidirectional turning bezel and can take a beating due to its stainless steel casing and thick rubber band. The retro, utilitarian look, with the blue/red contrast, is just stunning. I cannot understand how anyone who claims to collect watches (at this price point) doesn't own at least one of Seiko's SKX range.

In fact, I might look into getting another one for myself now...




My first watch was a digital Casio. My second was a Casio G-Shock. And I have been buying G-Shocks ever since!

Yes, G-Shocks are made to take a beating. They come standard with shock resistance, water resistance to 200m, alarms, stopwatches, timers, international time, light and so on. Certain models have specialised features, including GPS tracking, air pressure and temperature, moon and tide graphs, Bluetooth connectivity, mud resistance, and radio controlled time. G-Shocks are experiencing a resurgence over the lastolst few years, but most of the new styles don't appeal to me. I don't need the analog time, which is really hard to read, and I am not a fan of the size or the colour choices.

For me, the Casio G-Shock is all about nostalgia. A G-Shock needs that big ole button on the front so you can turn on the light with your teeth when your hands are full! It needs that bar across the front that doesn't actually offer any additional protection. It needs to look like the display panel of an old aircraft! The G-Shock GD400-9D in olive-brown encapsulates all of that for me. It has all the features that I need, with all the aesthetic flourishes that I love. Even the colour looks like it fell out of a sepia photograph. It's just perfect.

G-Shocks are also my travel watch of choice, and the model coded G-2900F with databank and ten-year battery life has saved my butt while overseas several times: sleeping in the back of vans, taking long-distance train rides, stolen bags, passports and phones, my G-Shock has helped me through! At around $100, however, the G-2900F wasn't fancy enough for this list. It is definitely worth looking around for the functions you would actually use on a regular basis.




So much about this watch makes it look like it was passed down to you by your beloved grandfather. The raised, rounded lens is reminiscent of the old automatic watches, where the hands are raised above the face of the watch. The face is ivory, the casing is faded gold as if both have been weathered through the course of time. And the alligator print leather band hasn't been in fashion since the 90s.
There is only one thing that makes it noticeably modern. With a 40mm diameter case, it is not too small to be considered a classic watch, but not as big as most modern watches popular today. Inside the watch, however, this Citizen houses the E111 movement - a solar powered quartz machine with the battery life to run for six months on a full charge.

When on sale, this watch can be found at almost half the price of others on this list. Citizen Echo-Drives also come with a huge five-year warranty and are made with consistently high-quality materials. This makes Eco-Drives, in my opinion, one of the most underrated and undervalued watches on the market today; making it easily capable of standing shoulder-to-shoulder with any of the watches on this list.




To round off the list, I wanted to include a flashy watch. And that usually means a big watch with lots of little dials, protruding buttons and shiny bits. The problem with this is that buttons in conventional watches are generally used to operate the chronograph feature of a watch. The chronograph feature is basically a stopwatch, displayed on hands over two to three dials. Honestly, I can say that I have never used the chronograph feature! It seems a shame to pay all that extra money for trimmings you may never use.

This watch is gold and blue with a 44mm case diameter, which is plenty big and flashy. Pressing the buttons make the hands swing dramatically and purposefully. Although the purpose wouldn't be apparent for most observers, it is bound to impress.

The time and many other functions can be set by connecting your smartphone to your watch. The watch can also buzz to alert you when you have incoming notifications. Yes, you read that right! It even comes with a basic activity tracker, used to track your steps and the analog display will tell you how close you are to achieving your daily step goal.

So, am I ecstatic about this watch? Well, for one, it is a "smart watch", which means it is the enemy of horologists everywhere! As far as I am aware, this watch is perhaps the only on this list where the mechanics are not produced in-house. But this watch does round off the collection on this list quite well.

Tuesday 22 May 2018

Leigh's Top 5 reasons smaller Premier League teams struggle

Leigh is the libertarian capitalist yin to my democratic socialist yang. It's widely known that there is a fair amount we don't agree on. When I lived with Levi, however, I found that there are few people I'd rather watch and chew the English football fat with. His knowledge and ability to deep-dive the beautiful game is, well, (kinda) beautiful. PS. #3 has driven me crazy for years
...


Why do teams slide from mid-table mediocrity to relegation scrappers? What's the reasoning behind reliable Premier League performers becoming future promotion chasing teams of the Championship?
At the beginning of the season, I predicted Everton to come 4th. In hindsight, that was a ludicrous decision, but should we have all seen their slump coming? Should we have seen the three promoted teams all out-performing experienced Premier League sides like Southampton, Stoke, West Brom, and West Ham?

1. Younger is better: footballers stop getting better with age long before 30.
The award for oldest line-ups churned out this season is about the only thing West Brom have won. The only teams to have churned out a first XI older than 29 years old are West Brom (and they've done it the most), West Ham, Everton, Crystal Palace, Stoke, and Watford - and the only one of those who has improved is Watford.
In fact, if West Brom swapped their points for those accrued by the 38 oldest average age team sheets, they'd still be bottom of the pile, with not enough points to have survived relegation in any season in Premier League history. Old teams send you backwards.

Starting line-ups older than 30 years in the 17/18 Premier League
Club
Opponent
Average age
Result
West Brom
Southampton
31.1
Lost
West Brom
Huddersfield
30.6
Lost
West Brom
Manchester City
30.5
Lost
West Brom
Chelsea
30.3
Lost
West Brom
Stoke
30.3
Lost
West Ham
Liverpool
30.2
Lost

When you graph all 20 teams across the whole season, the trendline makes it clear:


The Premier League is a running league; we've all heard the old cliché about how the continental European leagues are more technical and less physical, and there's a level to which that's true. More accurate is that the more you run, the more likely you are to avoid relegation, and teams full of players who are in their fourth decade aren't running the yards they used to. David Moyes' major reason for keeping West Ham up is his ability to get old tired legs running hard again - it'll be difficult to see his replacement doing something similar next season without a serious squad overhaul (again).
This might not be purely a physical thing; mentally, a lot of these players probably accept that they're either on their last decent paycheque or their career is heading downhill, and so the desire has begun to wane.

2. Players who've left Premier League clubs for cheap have left because they're not good enough to play at that level.
The conventional wisdom says that to avoid the drop, you need to sign proven Premier League performers if you're a newly promoted club. The performances of Brighton, Huddersfield, and Newcastle this year have shown that this is not the case.
I'd say you're better off signing a good young player from the Championship than signing a cheap seasoned professional. They're cheap for a reason.
There are still great bargains to be had among younger players, and there's always those that buck the trend, but generally, the experienced players leaving for low money are doing so because they can no longer cut it at the level their club aspires to be at.
Take West Brom as an example; Foster, Gibbs, Evans, Livermore, Sturridge, Barry, Chadli, Krychowiak, and Burke have all had top 4 finishes at previous clubs. A couple of those have had a poor run with injuries, but others (especially Krychowiak) have just had a poor run in general. These are seasoned professionals, many of whom have consistently been among the worst players on the park.
The signings made by Rafa Benitez, Chris Hughton, and David Wagner have strengthened clubs that were - on paper - not likely to survive, and gotten them across the line. But not one of the three newly promoted managers signed a single experienced Premier League player.
There were plenty of veterans on the market, given that Sunderland especially took an experienced side down to the Championship with them, and would've been looking to lower the wage bill by offloading players, plus there were plenty of out of contract players. But rather than look to the likes of Cuco Martina and Seb Larsson to fill the void - both were available as free transfers - the promoted clubs went shopping abroad and for players to compliment their squads which had performed so admirably to get them to the top flight last season.
You may remember just how dismal Sunderland were last season; a seemingly endless display of abject passing and defensive disorder, with Jermaine Defoe and Jordan Pickford bailing the team out fairly regularly at each end. That same Sunderland squad was effectively all up for sale; only Defoe and Pickford went to Premier League clubs. The majority of the squad stayed, and have now suffered the ignominy of consecutive relegations, while the club suffers the greater ignominy of continuing to pay Jack Rodwell.
In previous years, players from relegated clubs have done the merry-go-round. Leroy Fer, for example, has now been relegated three times and has spent time in the bottom four during each of his five Premier League seasons. Now that Swansea have been relegated, you assume that conventional wisdom will kick in next year and someone will sign Fer because he's a "battle hardened, relegation dog-fighter", to use a cliché that gets churned out every year in press conferences.
But if next year's promoted teams have done their homework, they won't be looking at the Premier League's experienced relegation dog-fighters, they'll be looking for hard-working, fast-running players on the up. Players like Fer are getting relegated regularly because they're just not good enough to keep a team up.
It's not just at the smaller clubs; across the board, signing players from a much larger club tends to end poorly. Take a look at footballwhispers.com's compilation of the worst players of the season:

Footballwhispers.com's worst XI of the season
Player
Position
Club
Previous clubs include
Joe Hart
GK
West Ham
Manchester City
Javier Manquillo
RB
Newcastle
Atletico Madrid
Kevin Wimmer
CB
Stoke
Tottenham
Shkodran Mustafi
CB
Arsenal
Inter Milan
Patrice Evra
LB
West Ham
Manchester United
Tiemoue Bakayoko
CM
Chelsea
Monaco
Grzegorz Krychowiak
CM
West Brom
Paris Saint-Germain
Renato Sanches
CM
Swansea
Bayern Munich
Kelechi Iheanacho
ST
Leicester City
Manchester City
Christian Benteke
ST
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Guido Carillo
ST
Southampton
Monaco

Bakayoko and Carillo may have came from a club that sells its top players regularly (and the Chelsea midfielder is young), but regardless of that, this is a squad of players deemed surplus to requirements by Champions League clubs. Their lack of form should not be surprising.

3. You know exactly what you're going to get when you sign a British manager, so why sign someone who you know will not meet your expectations?
It's amazing how the likes of Sam Allardyce, Alan Pardew, David Moyes, Tony Pulis, and the like get hired and fired by the same person. What did their respective chairmen expect they were going to get when they hired these men? Take a look at their records over the last decade:

Win percentages at each club in the Premier League for British managers hired mid-season
Sam Allardyce
Alan Pardew
Mark Hughes
Paul Lambert
Roy Hodgson
David Moyes
Bolton  35.1
Newcastle          33.3
Blackburn          35.6
West Ham          37.6
Sunderland          29.0
Palace  37.5
Everton          38.5
West Ham          26.7
Charlton          20.0
Newcastle          37.4
Palace  40.2
West Brom          14.3
Blackburn          43.6
Man City          46.8
Fulham 32.6
QPR     23.5
Stoke   35.5
South'pton          30.0

Norwich 31.5
Aston Villa          29.6
Stoke   13.3

Blackburn          34.9
Fulham 39.1
Liverpool          41.9
West Brom          37.0
Palace  32.4
Everton 42.1
Man Utd            52.9
Sunderland            18.6
West Ham            29.0

Allardyce always gets roughly the same results everywhere he goes by playing dreary football, winning second balls, scoring off set pieces, and shutting up shop at the back. Why did Everton hire him - especially when he only ended with 0.01 more points per game than David Unsworth, the cheaper, well-loved, younger caretaker manager who was thrown into the deep end to fix Ronald Koeman's deterioration? 

Pardew was fired at West Ham, Newcastle, and Crystal Palace because they slipped into relegation under him, and his only attempt at getting a team out of relegation - Charlton in 06/07 - ended in failure. Why did West Brom hire him - especially when they had a relegation specialist in Tony Pulis, who has never been relegated as a player or manager, at the club already?

Hughes performs well with the players at his disposal, but give him long enough and he'll fail to meet expectations in the transfer market. All of his sides eventually were filled with his own signings, and they all disappointed. Hughes deserves his own table:

Mark Hughes in the transfer market
Club
Number of first-team players signed
Number of transfer windows
Number of Hughes signings on the pitch in final game before sacking
Blackburn
21
7
9
Manchester City
17
3
11
Fulham
9
2
3
QPR
15
2
7
Stoke
33
9
9

Hughes has made a career out of spending other people's money for mediocre results. After performing well at Blackburn, he has failed to hit expectations at four consecutive clubs, despite signing 74 players in 16 transfer windows (effectively more than nine players a year), and everywhere except Fulham, he's had a chance to craft his own team. At least he's not Paul Lambert!

Lambert is arguably the worst manager in the history of the Premier League; certainly none have had more chances and performed consistently worse. His finishes? 12th, 15th, 15th, 17th, 19th. The trend is poor. Why did Stoke hire him, when his average win percentage was not enough to get them the points they needed to survive?
What all of these clubs should have done is what Crystal Palace did - hire Mr. Dependable, Roy Hodgson. Hodgson, like Allardyce and Pulis, guarantees survival by accruing enough points per game everywhere he goes. Hodgson took over a team that had no points, no goals, and no fit strikers, yet was able to do what he'd done everywhere else - accumulate enough points to survive.
The point of all this is to say that when Stoke replaced Hughes with Lambert, and when West Brom replaced Pulis with Pardew, they signed their respective death certificates. Had they replaced Hughes with Hodgson or Allardyce, they would've surely survived.
British managers - with very few exceptions - produce predictable results. When they go to Sunderland, they get fewer points, because that club is a basket case. When they go to larger clubs, they underperform. Those who have always been defensive and boring, will continue to be defensive and boring. But you know what they're going to produce at a lower table club, because their records speak for themselves.
The chairmen must take the blame for poor management decisions.

4. January signings will not save you.
Premier League clubs spent £430m signing 57 players in the January transfer window, and for every Aubamayeng, there are a dozen flops. (Ask Manchester United fans if they think Alexis Sanchez is worth £20m in wages, not including bonuses, every year.) If you want to survive in the Premier League, you need to get your transfer business done in the summer window. Take a look at the signings (loan and permanent) made by the eight relegation threatened clubs:

Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
Huddersfield Town
Southampton
Warren O'Hora
Jurgen Locadia
Bojan Radulovic Samoukovic
Leonardo Ulloa
Jaroslaw Jach
Erdal Rakip
Alexander Sorloth
Diego Cavalieri
Terence Kongolo
Alex Pritchard
Guido Carrillo
Stoke City
Swansea City
West Brom
West Ham
Moritz Bauer
Moussa Niakate
Badou Ndiaye
Kostas Stafylidis
Andre Ayew
Andy King
Jack Withers
Ali Gabr
Daniel Sturridge
Oladapo Afolayan
Jordan Hugill
Joao Mario
Patrice Evra

You'll notice that out of that list, only Ndiaye really made any noticeable improvement to his team, and they still went down anyway. But I've highlighted the strikers and wingers for a reason; these are the players whose goals and assists were meant to help secure survival. But look at their records:


Strikers and attacking midfielders signed in January
Player
Transfer fee
Minutes played
Goals
Assists
Pritchard
£12m
1003
1
1
Ayew
£18m
951
0
0
Carillo
£19.2m
452
0
1
Sorloth
£8.75m
360
0
0
Ulloa
£1m (loan fee)
262
1
0
Locadia
£14m
224
1
1
Sturridge
£2m (loan fee)
116
0
0
Hugill
£10m (approx)
22
0
0
Total
£84.95m
3390
3
3

Imagine spending £85m on a striker that plays almost every minute of the season, and gives you involvement in just six goals. For greater perspective, most pundits are calling Alvaro Morata a flop, but he scored 11 goals and mustered six assists in just over 2000 minutes, at a lower cost.

5. If mid-table is your goal, you will slide. Arrest the slide before you get to the relegation zone, not when you fall into the relegation zone.
It's a hard one here because as much as I think the short-termism of managerial sackings is causing serious long-term problems at many clubs, the writing is on the wall long before a team goes down. That may not require sacking the manager, but it will require real changes to improve the team.
For a team like Southampton, whose strategy of buying younger players and selling them on at a profit is probably not going to change, that will mean fixing their recruitment model so that they return to signing players that people will actually want like Wanyama, Van Dijk, Pelle etc; it's hard to imagine Liverpool calling up enquiring about the price for Redmond, Gabbiadini, or Boufal (the majority of their 16/17 expenditure).
It's not enough to aim for eighth and be satisfied with getting above 17th; it will catch up with you. There are six teams that went into that danger zone Let's look at the teams who are at risk of who've had four or more consecutive years in the division and finished bottom half this year:


Notice the trend is almost exclusively downward, and most of the aberrations can easily be explained: West Ham were single-handedly dragged up by Dimitri Payet setting Upton Park alight (how Hammers fans wish they could have both of those back), and Roy Hodgson arrested the slide for Crystal Palace this year that looked to be in full swing under Frank De Boer's disastrous tenure.
But outside of that, the three relegated teams had all been heading fairly consistently, and Southampton, Crystal Palace and West Ham are the prime candidates to have to worry about facing the drop next year.

Considering we just saw the three promoted teams stay up for only the third time in Premier League history, we'll have three new promoted teams joining the league next year, and three regulars struggling to fix a continual drift toward the bottom three, expect a nine-way (minimum) relegation battle next year. I, for one, can't wait.

Eddy's Top 5 Watches

The first watch my parents bought me was a counterfeit Casio from Chinatown in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. It worked for less than 24 hours, bu...